It’s MAGA v Broligarch in the battle over prediction markets

Published: (February 19, 2026 at 08:50 AM EST)
1 min read
Source: The Verge

Source: The Verge

![Polymarket trading interface showing a prediction market on Houthi attacks on Israeli territory]
Bloomberg via Getty Images

Hello and welcome to Regulator, a newsletter for Verge subscribers about the love‑hate (but mostly hate) relationship between Silicon Valley and Washington. I hope everyone got to celebrate George Washington’s birthday in their preferred manner: skiing, staycationing, subscribing to The Verge if you haven’t already, etc.

Prediction: this is going to be a mess

Political alliances are rarely permanent, so it’s somewhat predictable that the MAGA‑tech bro alliance seemed to fall apart within a single year. Which side the administration would actually choose, however, was more difficult to foresee.

Last winter, it appeared that …

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